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Rate Hike Unlikely on Slowing US Economy | Trading Forex

According to the Commerce Department, retail sales barely rose in September, edging up only 0.1 percent last month largely due to cheaper gasoline which pushed gas station receipts down 3.2 percent. Producer prices reported their biggest decline in eight months.
The Commerce Department report showed that retail sales excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services slipped 0.1 percent last month after a downwardly revised 0.2 percent gain in August.
Reports show that the economy has been losing momentum as a result of a dollar that has strengthened against other major currencies, sluggish global growth and lower oil prices that are impeding capital spending in the energy sector. All these factors have contributed to a halt in job growth in the past two months.

No Rate Hike Foreseen

According to Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics in Toronto, "The softness of September's figures supports our view that the Fed probably isn't going to hike interest rates until early next year."
The Commerce Department report also showed that business inventories remained unchanged again in August, triggering JPMorgan to cut its third-quarter GDP estimate by half a percentage point to an annual rate of 1 percent.
The economy grew only 3.9 percent in the second quarter while discretionary spending, which could provide some cushioning against weakening global growth, remained somewhat healthy as consumers bought automobiles and furniture and spent more on hobbies, clothing and dining out.

Picking the Best Hammer Candlesticks | Trading Forex

Most Forex traders know about hammer candlesticks. They are also known as pin bars. They are generally believed to signify that a price reversal has just begun to take place, which obviously is very interesting as it would give traders the chance to enter a low risk, high reward probability trade and make some profit. Unfortunately although a lot of traders focus on finding these hammer candlesticks and trading them, they still find it difficult to achieve sufficient profitability using this method. In this article I will examine why this happens, and suggest methods that traders can use to only pick the best-quality hammer candlesticks to trade.

No Edge in a Single Candlestick

Our starting point should be in acknowledging a brutal truth: candlesticks taken on their own have no predictive power regarding what they price is going to do next, with the exception of very long time frames. For example, if the price is higher than it was a few months ago, the price now is more likely to go up than down. In any case, when we are looking at more typical time frames such as 5 minutes, 1 hour or 1 day, studies of individual candlesticks (such as hammers) on these time frames show they have no statistically valid predictive power.
This means that we have to add some filters, and examine whether certain conditions are present when a hammer candlestick appears, in order to decide whether they are worth trading or not. There are several filters that can be applied that have been proven to signify when a positive edge is likely to be present. I will run through them in order of their effectiveness.

Trade in the Direction of the Trend

It is tempting to trade hammer candlesticks as they form whether they are pointing up or down. While some of the counter-trend trades will work, you will get better results overall if you focus on the hammers that form that point in the direction of the trend over many weeks / several months. Trading in the direction of the long-term trend is usually the best favor most traders can do for themselves!

Lowest / Highest Wick of Last Several Candles

If the hammer candlestick is bullish, for example, it helps if it has the lowest candle wick of the past 5 or so candles. Similarly, if the hammer candle is a Flying Buddha candlestick, that is also a positive sign.

Bigger than Last Several Candles

If the total range from the high to low of the hammer candlestick is greater than the range of any of the previous 5 or so candlesticks, then this also increases the quality of the candle, provided the range is not freakishly huge. Of course, time of day can be a factor here, if you are looking at the shorter time frames. There are times of the day where volatility tends to increase quite a lot, so a comparatively large candle right after a major session open like London or New York open might not be a very reliable indicator.
Confluence with Support or Resistance / Round Number / Key MA / Trend Line
It the wick of the hammer candlestick is poking through an area which is suspected to be support or resistance, this makes it a stronger signal. Round numbers, previous daily highs or lows, or key moving averages can all strengthen a hammer candlestick as indicating a price reversal. This is known as “confluence”. A good example of confluence is shown below in a recent hourly chart of the AUD / USD currency pair:

Note the hammer candlestick market by the downwards arrow. There were a few reasons to notice this candlestick as it formed as indicating a higher probability that the price would reverse. Firstly, you can see that the price of about 0.6957 has triggered a fall in price twice, the last two times the price has been up there. The bearish hammer touched this level and the price fell quite quickly. Secondly, a semi-round number – actually a “half number” – of 0.6950 was involved in this rejection. Where .00, .50, or even .75 or .25 are involved, pay attention, as these round, half and quarter numbers tend to carry greater weight as support or resistance. Thirdly, the hammer candlestick is also a bearish Flying Buddha: it does not touch either the 5 EMA or 10 SMA, and the 5 EMA is above the 10 SMA so the moving averages are in the correct order to produce a bearish Flying Buddha. Finally, the candlestick’s low was broken on the very next candlestick, which suggests some bearish momentum is present.

Previous Candlestick Closes Nearby

If there is no obvious confluence at the area of price that is being rejected by a hammer candlestick, look to see whether there were a few closes of previous candlesticks at nearby prices. If there were, the hammer is likely to have more weight, unless it is a Flying Buddha.
An example is shown in the chart below. Note how the previous candle’s close was not near to any other recent closes. However the final candle on the right is forming and looks as if its close is going to be near the previous candle’s close. This second hammer candlestick looks like it is going to be more reliable than the first candlestick. It has also formed a double bottom at the low of the previous candlestick, and is rejecting a key level of potential support marked by the blue line.

Candlestick Open and Close both Near Top or Bottom of Range

Hammer candlesticks are usually defined as meaningfully long candlesticks with the open and close both in either the top or bottom quarter of the candlestick’s range. If both the open and close are even higher or lower, say in the top or bottom 10% of the range, it is even better.

Price Breaks Out on Next Candle

Hammer candlesticks that produce important reversals usually push the price up in the intended direction very quickly. For this reason, it is quite common to trade them by putting a trade entry stop order just above the high of a bullish hammer, for example, and cancelling the trade if the price is not reached by the very next candle. This can help in filtering out a few trade entries of inferior quality.

Conclusion

Trading hammer candlesticks can be a great way to start Forex trading in a profitable fashion. However do not take every hammer candlestick or you won’t be profitable. Pick the candles that meet at least some of the criteria listed here, especially those in line with strong trends. If you also let your winning trades run, you are highly likely to find yourself ahead and making money after a while.



Source

Picking the Best Hammer Candlesticks | Trading Forex

Most Forex traders know about hammer candlesticks. They are also known as pin bars. They are generally believed to signify that a price reversal has just begun to take place, which obviously is very interesting as it would give traders the chance to enter a low risk, high reward probability trade and make some profit. Unfortunately although a lot of traders focus on finding these hammer candlesticks and trading them, they still find it difficult to achieve sufficient profitability using this method. In this article I will examine why this happens, and suggest methods that traders can use to only pick the best-quality hammer candlesticks to trade.

No Edge in a Single Candlestick

Our starting point should be in acknowledging a brutal truth: candlesticks taken on their own have no predictive power regarding what they price is going to do next, with the exception of very long time frames. For example, if the price is higher than it was a few months ago, the price now is more likely to go up than down. In any case, when we are looking at more typical time frames such as 5 minutes, 1 hour or 1 day, studies of individual candlesticks (such as hammers) on these time frames show they have no statistically valid predictive power.
This means that we have to add some filters, and examine whether certain conditions are present when a hammer candlestick appears, in order to decide whether they are worth trading or not. There are several filters that can be applied that have been proven to signify when a positive edge is likely to be present. I will run through them in order of their effectiveness.

Trade in the Direction of the Trend

It is tempting to trade hammer candlesticks as they form whether they are pointing up or down. While some of the counter-trend trades will work, you will get better results overall if you focus on the hammers that form that point in the direction of the trend over many weeks / several months. Trading in the direction of the long-term trend is usually the best favor most traders can do for themselves!

Lowest / Highest Wick of Last Several Candles

If the hammer candlestick is bullish, for example, it helps if it has the lowest candle wick of the past 5 or so candles. Similarly, if the hammer candle is a Flying Buddha candlestick, that is also a positive sign.

Bigger than Last Several Candles

If the total range from the high to low of the hammer candlestick is greater than the range of any of the previous 5 or so candlesticks, then this also increases the quality of the candle, provided the range is not freakishly huge. Of course, time of day can be a factor here, if you are looking at the shorter time frames. There are times of the day where volatility tends to increase quite a lot, so a comparatively large candle right after a major session open like London or New York open might not be a very reliable indicator.
Confluence with Support or Resistance / Round Number / Key MA / Trend Line
It the wick of the hammer candlestick is poking through an area which is suspected to be support or resistance, this makes it a stronger signal. Round numbers, previous daily highs or lows, or key moving averages can all strengthen a hammer candlestick as indicating a price reversal. This is known as “confluence”. A good example of confluence is shown below in a recent hourly chart of the AUD / USD currency pair:

Note the hammer candlestick market by the downwards arrow. There were a few reasons to notice this candlestick as it formed as indicating a higher probability that the price would reverse. Firstly, you can see that the price of about 0.6957 has triggered a fall in price twice, the last two times the price has been up there. The bearish hammer touched this level and the price fell quite quickly. Secondly, a semi-round number – actually a “half number” – of 0.6950 was involved in this rejection. Where .00, .50, or even .75 or .25 are involved, pay attention, as these round, half and quarter numbers tend to carry greater weight as support or resistance. Thirdly, the hammer candlestick is also a bearish Flying Buddha: it does not touch either the 5 EMA or 10 SMA, and the 5 EMA is above the 10 SMA so the moving averages are in the correct order to produce a bearish Flying Buddha. Finally, the candlestick’s low was broken on the very next candlestick, which suggests some bearish momentum is present.

Previous Candlestick Closes Nearby

If there is no obvious confluence at the area of price that is being rejected by a hammer candlestick, look to see whether there were a few closes of previous candlesticks at nearby prices. If there were, the hammer is likely to have more weight, unless it is a Flying Buddha.
An example is shown in the chart below. Note how the previous candle’s close was not near to any other recent closes. However the final candle on the right is forming and looks as if its close is going to be near the previous candle’s close. This second hammer candlestick looks like it is going to be more reliable than the first candlestick. It has also formed a double bottom at the low of the previous candlestick, and is rejecting a key level of potential support marked by the blue line.

Candlestick Open and Close both Near Top or Bottom of Range

Hammer candlesticks are usually defined as meaningfully long candlesticks with the open and close both in either the top or bottom quarter of the candlestick’s range. If both the open and close are even higher or lower, say in the top or bottom 10% of the range, it is even better.

Price Breaks Out on Next Candle

Hammer candlesticks that produce important reversals usually push the price up in the intended direction very quickly. For this reason, it is quite common to trade them by putting a trade entry stop order just above the high of a bullish hammer, for example, and cancelling the trade if the price is not reached by the very next candle. This can help in filtering out a few trade entries of inferior quality.

Conclusion

Trading hammer candlesticks can be a great way to start Forex trading in a profitable fashion. However do not take every hammer candlestick or you won’t be profitable. Pick the candles that meet at least some of the criteria listed here, especially those in line with strong trends. If you also let your winning trades run, you are highly likely to find yourself ahead and making money after a while.



Source

Picking the Best Hammer Candlesticks | Trading Forex

Most Forex traders know about hammer candlesticks. They are also known as pin bars. They are generally believed to signify that a price reversal has just begun to take place, which obviously is very interesting as it would give traders the chance to enter a low risk, high reward probability trade and make some profit. Unfortunately although a lot of traders focus on finding these hammer candlesticks and trading them, they still find it difficult to achieve sufficient profitability using this method. In this article I will examine why this happens, and suggest methods that traders can use to only pick the best-quality hammer candlesticks to trade.

No Edge in a Single Candlestick

Our starting point should be in acknowledging a brutal truth: candlesticks taken on their own have no predictive power regarding what they price is going to do next, with the exception of very long time frames. For example, if the price is higher than it was a few months ago, the price now is more likely to go up than down. In any case, when we are looking at more typical time frames such as 5 minutes, 1 hour or 1 day, studies of individual candlesticks (such as hammers) on these time frames show they have no statistically valid predictive power.
This means that we have to add some filters, and examine whether certain conditions are present when a hammer candlestick appears, in order to decide whether they are worth trading or not. There are several filters that can be applied that have been proven to signify when a positive edge is likely to be present. I will run through them in order of their effectiveness.

Trade in the Direction of the Trend

It is tempting to trade hammer candlesticks as they form whether they are pointing up or down. While some of the counter-trend trades will work, you will get better results overall if you focus on the hammers that form that point in the direction of the trend over many weeks / several months. Trading in the direction of the long-term trend is usually the best favor most traders can do for themselves!

Lowest / Highest Wick of Last Several Candles

If the hammer candlestick is bullish, for example, it helps if it has the lowest candle wick of the past 5 or so candles. Similarly, if the hammer candle is a Flying Buddha candlestick, that is also a positive sign.

Bigger than Last Several Candles

If the total range from the high to low of the hammer candlestick is greater than the range of any of the previous 5 or so candlesticks, then this also increases the quality of the candle, provided the range is not freakishly huge. Of course, time of day can be a factor here, if you are looking at the shorter time frames. There are times of the day where volatility tends to increase quite a lot, so a comparatively large candle right after a major session open like London or New York open might not be a very reliable indicator.
Confluence with Support or Resistance / Round Number / Key MA / Trend Line
It the wick of the hammer candlestick is poking through an area which is suspected to be support or resistance, this makes it a stronger signal. Round numbers, previous daily highs or lows, or key moving averages can all strengthen a hammer candlestick as indicating a price reversal. This is known as “confluence”. A good example of confluence is shown below in a recent hourly chart of the AUD / USD currency pair:

Note the hammer candlestick market by the downwards arrow. There were a few reasons to notice this candlestick as it formed as indicating a higher probability that the price would reverse. Firstly, you can see that the price of about 0.6957 has triggered a fall in price twice, the last two times the price has been up there. The bearish hammer touched this level and the price fell quite quickly. Secondly, a semi-round number – actually a “half number” – of 0.6950 was involved in this rejection. Where .00, .50, or even .75 or .25 are involved, pay attention, as these round, half and quarter numbers tend to carry greater weight as support or resistance. Thirdly, the hammer candlestick is also a bearish Flying Buddha: it does not touch either the 5 EMA or 10 SMA, and the 5 EMA is above the 10 SMA so the moving averages are in the correct order to produce a bearish Flying Buddha. Finally, the candlestick’s low was broken on the very next candlestick, which suggests some bearish momentum is present.

Previous Candlestick Closes Nearby

If there is no obvious confluence at the area of price that is being rejected by a hammer candlestick, look to see whether there were a few closes of previous candlesticks at nearby prices. If there were, the hammer is likely to have more weight, unless it is a Flying Buddha.
An example is shown in the chart below. Note how the previous candle’s close was not near to any other recent closes. However the final candle on the right is forming and looks as if its close is going to be near the previous candle’s close. This second hammer candlestick looks like it is going to be more reliable than the first candlestick. It has also formed a double bottom at the low of the previous candlestick, and is rejecting a key level of potential support marked by the blue line.

Candlestick Open and Close both Near Top or Bottom of Range

Hammer candlesticks are usually defined as meaningfully long candlesticks with the open and close both in either the top or bottom quarter of the candlestick’s range. If both the open and close are even higher or lower, say in the top or bottom 10% of the range, it is even better.

Price Breaks Out on Next Candle

Hammer candlesticks that produce important reversals usually push the price up in the intended direction very quickly. For this reason, it is quite common to trade them by putting a trade entry stop order just above the high of a bullish hammer, for example, and cancelling the trade if the price is not reached by the very next candle. This can help in filtering out a few trade entries of inferior quality.

Conclusion

Trading hammer candlesticks can be a great way to start Forex trading in a profitable fashion. However do not take every hammer candlestick or you won’t be profitable. Pick the candles that meet at least some of the criteria listed here, especially those in line with strong trends. If you also let your winning trades run, you are highly likely to find yourself ahead and making money after a while.



Source

Picking the Best Hammer Candlesticks | Trading Forex

Most Forex traders know about hammer candlesticks. They are also known as pin bars. They are generally believed to signify that a price reversal has just begun to take place, which obviously is very interesting as it would give traders the chance to enter a low risk, high reward probability trade and make some profit. Unfortunately although a lot of traders focus on finding these hammer candlesticks and trading them, they still find it difficult to achieve sufficient profitability using this method. In this article I will examine why this happens, and suggest methods that traders can use to only pick the best-quality hammer candlesticks to trade.

No Edge in a Single Candlestick

Our starting point should be in acknowledging a brutal truth: candlesticks taken on their own have no predictive power regarding what they price is going to do next, with the exception of very long time frames. For example, if the price is higher than it was a few months ago, the price now is more likely to go up than down. In any case, when we are looking at more typical time frames such as 5 minutes, 1 hour or 1 day, studies of individual candlesticks (such as hammers) on these time frames show they have no statistically valid predictive power.
This means that we have to add some filters, and examine whether certain conditions are present when a hammer candlestick appears, in order to decide whether they are worth trading or not. There are several filters that can be applied that have been proven to signify when a positive edge is likely to be present. I will run through them in order of their effectiveness.

Trade in the Direction of the Trend

It is tempting to trade hammer candlesticks as they form whether they are pointing up or down. While some of the counter-trend trades will work, you will get better results overall if you focus on the hammers that form that point in the direction of the trend over many weeks / several months. Trading in the direction of the long-term trend is usually the best favor most traders can do for themselves!

Lowest / Highest Wick of Last Several Candles

If the hammer candlestick is bullish, for example, it helps if it has the lowest candle wick of the past 5 or so candles. Similarly, if the hammer candle is a Flying Buddha candlestick, that is also a positive sign.

Bigger than Last Several Candles

If the total range from the high to low of the hammer candlestick is greater than the range of any of the previous 5 or so candlesticks, then this also increases the quality of the candle, provided the range is not freakishly huge. Of course, time of day can be a factor here, if you are looking at the shorter time frames. There are times of the day where volatility tends to increase quite a lot, so a comparatively large candle right after a major session open like London or New York open might not be a very reliable indicator.
Confluence with Support or Resistance / Round Number / Key MA / Trend Line
It the wick of the hammer candlestick is poking through an area which is suspected to be support or resistance, this makes it a stronger signal. Round numbers, previous daily highs or lows, or key moving averages can all strengthen a hammer candlestick as indicating a price reversal. This is known as “confluence”. A good example of confluence is shown below in a recent hourly chart of the AUD / USD currency pair:

Note the hammer candlestick market by the downwards arrow. There were a few reasons to notice this candlestick as it formed as indicating a higher probability that the price would reverse. Firstly, you can see that the price of about 0.6957 has triggered a fall in price twice, the last two times the price has been up there. The bearish hammer touched this level and the price fell quite quickly. Secondly, a semi-round number – actually a “half number” – of 0.6950 was involved in this rejection. Where .00, .50, or even .75 or .25 are involved, pay attention, as these round, half and quarter numbers tend to carry greater weight as support or resistance. Thirdly, the hammer candlestick is also a bearish Flying Buddha: it does not touch either the 5 EMA or 10 SMA, and the 5 EMA is above the 10 SMA so the moving averages are in the correct order to produce a bearish Flying Buddha. Finally, the candlestick’s low was broken on the very next candlestick, which suggests some bearish momentum is present.

Previous Candlestick Closes Nearby

If there is no obvious confluence at the area of price that is being rejected by a hammer candlestick, look to see whether there were a few closes of previous candlesticks at nearby prices. If there were, the hammer is likely to have more weight, unless it is a Flying Buddha.
An example is shown in the chart below. Note how the previous candle’s close was not near to any other recent closes. However the final candle on the right is forming and looks as if its close is going to be near the previous candle’s close. This second hammer candlestick looks like it is going to be more reliable than the first candlestick. It has also formed a double bottom at the low of the previous candlestick, and is rejecting a key level of potential support marked by the blue line.

Candlestick Open and Close both Near Top or Bottom of Range

Hammer candlesticks are usually defined as meaningfully long candlesticks with the open and close both in either the top or bottom quarter of the candlestick’s range. If both the open and close are even higher or lower, say in the top or bottom 10% of the range, it is even better.

Price Breaks Out on Next Candle

Hammer candlesticks that produce important reversals usually push the price up in the intended direction very quickly. For this reason, it is quite common to trade them by putting a trade entry stop order just above the high of a bullish hammer, for example, and cancelling the trade if the price is not reached by the very next candle. This can help in filtering out a few trade entries of inferior quality.

Conclusion

Trading hammer candlesticks can be a great way to start Forex trading in a profitable fashion. However do not take every hammer candlestick or you won’t be profitable. Pick the candles that meet at least some of the criteria listed here, especially those in line with strong trends. If you also let your winning trades run, you are highly likely to find yourself ahead and making money after a while.



Source

Picking the Best Hammer Candlesticks | Trading Forex

Most Forex traders know about hammer candlesticks. They are also known as pin bars. They are generally believed to signify that a price reversal has just begun to take place, which obviously is very interesting as it would give traders the chance to enter a low risk, high reward probability trade and make some profit. Unfortunately although a lot of traders focus on finding these hammer candlesticks and trading them, they still find it difficult to achieve sufficient profitability using this method. In this article I will examine why this happens, and suggest methods that traders can use to only pick the best-quality hammer candlesticks to trade.

No Edge in a Single Candlestick

Our starting point should be in acknowledging a brutal truth: candlesticks taken on their own have no predictive power regarding what they price is going to do next, with the exception of very long time frames. For example, if the price is higher than it was a few months ago, the price now is more likely to go up than down. In any case, when we are looking at more typical time frames such as 5 minutes, 1 hour or 1 day, studies of individual candlesticks (such as hammers) on these time frames show they have no statistically valid predictive power.
This means that we have to add some filters, and examine whether certain conditions are present when a hammer candlestick appears, in order to decide whether they are worth trading or not. There are several filters that can be applied that have been proven to signify when a positive edge is likely to be present. I will run through them in order of their effectiveness.

Trade in the Direction of the Trend

It is tempting to trade hammer candlesticks as they form whether they are pointing up or down. While some of the counter-trend trades will work, you will get better results overall if you focus on the hammers that form that point in the direction of the trend over many weeks / several months. Trading in the direction of the long-term trend is usually the best favor most traders can do for themselves!

Lowest / Highest Wick of Last Several Candles

If the hammer candlestick is bullish, for example, it helps if it has the lowest candle wick of the past 5 or so candles. Similarly, if the hammer candle is a Flying Buddha candlestick, that is also a positive sign.

Bigger than Last Several Candles

If the total range from the high to low of the hammer candlestick is greater than the range of any of the previous 5 or so candlesticks, then this also increases the quality of the candle, provided the range is not freakishly huge. Of course, time of day can be a factor here, if you are looking at the shorter time frames. There are times of the day where volatility tends to increase quite a lot, so a comparatively large candle right after a major session open like London or New York open might not be a very reliable indicator.
Confluence with Support or Resistance / Round Number / Key MA / Trend Line
It the wick of the hammer candlestick is poking through an area which is suspected to be support or resistance, this makes it a stronger signal. Round numbers, previous daily highs or lows, or key moving averages can all strengthen a hammer candlestick as indicating a price reversal. This is known as “confluence”. A good example of confluence is shown below in a recent hourly chart of the AUD / USD currency pair:

Note the hammer candlestick market by the downwards arrow. There were a few reasons to notice this candlestick as it formed as indicating a higher probability that the price would reverse. Firstly, you can see that the price of about 0.6957 has triggered a fall in price twice, the last two times the price has been up there. The bearish hammer touched this level and the price fell quite quickly. Secondly, a semi-round number – actually a “half number” – of 0.6950 was involved in this rejection. Where .00, .50, or even .75 or .25 are involved, pay attention, as these round, half and quarter numbers tend to carry greater weight as support or resistance. Thirdly, the hammer candlestick is also a bearish Flying Buddha: it does not touch either the 5 EMA or 10 SMA, and the 5 EMA is above the 10 SMA so the moving averages are in the correct order to produce a bearish Flying Buddha. Finally, the candlestick’s low was broken on the very next candlestick, which suggests some bearish momentum is present.

Previous Candlestick Closes Nearby

If there is no obvious confluence at the area of price that is being rejected by a hammer candlestick, look to see whether there were a few closes of previous candlesticks at nearby prices. If there were, the hammer is likely to have more weight, unless it is a Flying Buddha.
An example is shown in the chart below. Note how the previous candle’s close was not near to any other recent closes. However the final candle on the right is forming and looks as if its close is going to be near the previous candle’s close. This second hammer candlestick looks like it is going to be more reliable than the first candlestick. It has also formed a double bottom at the low of the previous candlestick, and is rejecting a key level of potential support marked by the blue line.

Candlestick Open and Close both Near Top or Bottom of Range

Hammer candlesticks are usually defined as meaningfully long candlesticks with the open and close both in either the top or bottom quarter of the candlestick’s range. If both the open and close are even higher or lower, say in the top or bottom 10% of the range, it is even better.

Price Breaks Out on Next Candle

Hammer candlesticks that produce important reversals usually push the price up in the intended direction very quickly. For this reason, it is quite common to trade them by putting a trade entry stop order just above the high of a bullish hammer, for example, and cancelling the trade if the price is not reached by the very next candle. This can help in filtering out a few trade entries of inferior quality.

Conclusion

Trading hammer candlesticks can be a great way to start Forex trading in a profitable fashion. However do not take every hammer candlestick or you won’t be profitable. Pick the candles that meet at least some of the criteria listed here, especially those in line with strong trends. If you also let your winning trades run, you are highly likely to find yourself ahead and making money after a while.



Source

Picking the Best Hammer Candlesticks | Trading Forex

Most Forex traders know about hammer candlesticks. They are also known as pin bars. They are generally believed to signify that a price reversal has just begun to take place, which obviously is very interesting as it would give traders the chance to enter a low risk, high reward probability trade and make some profit. Unfortunately although a lot of traders focus on finding these hammer candlesticks and trading them, they still find it difficult to achieve sufficient profitability using this method. In this article I will examine why this happens, and suggest methods that traders can use to only pick the best-quality hammer candlesticks to trade.

No Edge in a Single Candlestick

Our starting point should be in acknowledging a brutal truth: candlesticks taken on their own have no predictive power regarding what they price is going to do next, with the exception of very long time frames. For example, if the price is higher than it was a few months ago, the price now is more likely to go up than down. In any case, when we are looking at more typical time frames such as 5 minutes, 1 hour or 1 day, studies of individual candlesticks (such as hammers) on these time frames show they have no statistically valid predictive power.
This means that we have to add some filters, and examine whether certain conditions are present when a hammer candlestick appears, in order to decide whether they are worth trading or not. There are several filters that can be applied that have been proven to signify when a positive edge is likely to be present. I will run through them in order of their effectiveness.

Trade in the Direction of the Trend

It is tempting to trade hammer candlesticks as they form whether they are pointing up or down. While some of the counter-trend trades will work, you will get better results overall if you focus on the hammers that form that point in the direction of the trend over many weeks / several months. Trading in the direction of the long-term trend is usually the best favor most traders can do for themselves!

Lowest / Highest Wick of Last Several Candles

If the hammer candlestick is bullish, for example, it helps if it has the lowest candle wick of the past 5 or so candles. Similarly, if the hammer candle is a Flying Buddha candlestick, that is also a positive sign.

Bigger than Last Several Candles

If the total range from the high to low of the hammer candlestick is greater than the range of any of the previous 5 or so candlesticks, then this also increases the quality of the candle, provided the range is not freakishly huge. Of course, time of day can be a factor here, if you are looking at the shorter time frames. There are times of the day where volatility tends to increase quite a lot, so a comparatively large candle right after a major session open like London or New York open might not be a very reliable indicator.
Confluence with Support or Resistance / Round Number / Key MA / Trend Line
It the wick of the hammer candlestick is poking through an area which is suspected to be support or resistance, this makes it a stronger signal. Round numbers, previous daily highs or lows, or key moving averages can all strengthen a hammer candlestick as indicating a price reversal. This is known as “confluence”. A good example of confluence is shown below in a recent hourly chart of the AUD / USD currency pair:

Note the hammer candlestick market by the downwards arrow. There were a few reasons to notice this candlestick as it formed as indicating a higher probability that the price would reverse. Firstly, you can see that the price of about 0.6957 has triggered a fall in price twice, the last two times the price has been up there. The bearish hammer touched this level and the price fell quite quickly. Secondly, a semi-round number – actually a “half number” – of 0.6950 was involved in this rejection. Where .00, .50, or even .75 or .25 are involved, pay attention, as these round, half and quarter numbers tend to carry greater weight as support or resistance. Thirdly, the hammer candlestick is also a bearish Flying Buddha: it does not touch either the 5 EMA or 10 SMA, and the 5 EMA is above the 10 SMA so the moving averages are in the correct order to produce a bearish Flying Buddha. Finally, the candlestick’s low was broken on the very next candlestick, which suggests some bearish momentum is present.

Previous Candlestick Closes Nearby

If there is no obvious confluence at the area of price that is being rejected by a hammer candlestick, look to see whether there were a few closes of previous candlesticks at nearby prices. If there were, the hammer is likely to have more weight, unless it is a Flying Buddha.
An example is shown in the chart below. Note how the previous candle’s close was not near to any other recent closes. However the final candle on the right is forming and looks as if its close is going to be near the previous candle’s close. This second hammer candlestick looks like it is going to be more reliable than the first candlestick. It has also formed a double bottom at the low of the previous candlestick, and is rejecting a key level of potential support marked by the blue line.

Candlestick Open and Close both Near Top or Bottom of Range

Hammer candlesticks are usually defined as meaningfully long candlesticks with the open and close both in either the top or bottom quarter of the candlestick’s range. If both the open and close are even higher or lower, say in the top or bottom 10% of the range, it is even better.

Price Breaks Out on Next Candle

Hammer candlesticks that produce important reversals usually push the price up in the intended direction very quickly. For this reason, it is quite common to trade them by putting a trade entry stop order just above the high of a bullish hammer, for example, and cancelling the trade if the price is not reached by the very next candle. This can help in filtering out a few trade entries of inferior quality.

Conclusion

Trading hammer candlesticks can be a great way to start Forex trading in a profitable fashion. However do not take every hammer candlestick or you won’t be profitable. Pick the candles that meet at least some of the criteria listed here, especially those in line with strong trends. If you also let your winning trades run, you are highly likely to find yourself ahead and making money after a while.



Source

Picking the Best Hammer Candlesticks | Trading Forex

Most Forex traders know about hammer candlesticks. They are also known as pin bars. They are generally believed to signify that a price reversal has just begun to take place, which obviously is very interesting as it would give traders the chance to enter a low risk, high reward probability trade and make some profit. Unfortunately although a lot of traders focus on finding these hammer candlesticks and trading them, they still find it difficult to achieve sufficient profitability using this method. In this article I will examine why this happens, and suggest methods that traders can use to only pick the best-quality hammer candlesticks to trade.

No Edge in a Single Candlestick

Our starting point should be in acknowledging a brutal truth: candlesticks taken on their own have no predictive power regarding what they price is going to do next, with the exception of very long time frames. For example, if the price is higher than it was a few months ago, the price now is more likely to go up than down. In any case, when we are looking at more typical time frames such as 5 minutes, 1 hour or 1 day, studies of individual candlesticks (such as hammers) on these time frames show they have no statistically valid predictive power.
This means that we have to add some filters, and examine whether certain conditions are present when a hammer candlestick appears, in order to decide whether they are worth trading or not. There are several filters that can be applied that have been proven to signify when a positive edge is likely to be present. I will run through them in order of their effectiveness.

Trade in the Direction of the Trend

It is tempting to trade hammer candlesticks as they form whether they are pointing up or down. While some of the counter-trend trades will work, you will get better results overall if you focus on the hammers that form that point in the direction of the trend over many weeks / several months. Trading in the direction of the long-term trend is usually the best favor most traders can do for themselves!

Lowest / Highest Wick of Last Several Candles

If the hammer candlestick is bullish, for example, it helps if it has the lowest candle wick of the past 5 or so candles. Similarly, if the hammer candle is a Flying Buddha candlestick, that is also a positive sign.

Bigger than Last Several Candles

If the total range from the high to low of the hammer candlestick is greater than the range of any of the previous 5 or so candlesticks, then this also increases the quality of the candle, provided the range is not freakishly huge. Of course, time of day can be a factor here, if you are looking at the shorter time frames. There are times of the day where volatility tends to increase quite a lot, so a comparatively large candle right after a major session open like London or New York open might not be a very reliable indicator.
Confluence with Support or Resistance / Round Number / Key MA / Trend Line
It the wick of the hammer candlestick is poking through an area which is suspected to be support or resistance, this makes it a stronger signal. Round numbers, previous daily highs or lows, or key moving averages can all strengthen a hammer candlestick as indicating a price reversal. This is known as “confluence”. A good example of confluence is shown below in a recent hourly chart of the AUD / USD currency pair:

Note the hammer candlestick market by the downwards arrow. There were a few reasons to notice this candlestick as it formed as indicating a higher probability that the price would reverse. Firstly, you can see that the price of about 0.6957 has triggered a fall in price twice, the last two times the price has been up there. The bearish hammer touched this level and the price fell quite quickly. Secondly, a semi-round number – actually a “half number” – of 0.6950 was involved in this rejection. Where .00, .50, or even .75 or .25 are involved, pay attention, as these round, half and quarter numbers tend to carry greater weight as support or resistance. Thirdly, the hammer candlestick is also a bearish Flying Buddha: it does not touch either the 5 EMA or 10 SMA, and the 5 EMA is above the 10 SMA so the moving averages are in the correct order to produce a bearish Flying Buddha. Finally, the candlestick’s low was broken on the very next candlestick, which suggests some bearish momentum is present.

Previous Candlestick Closes Nearby

If there is no obvious confluence at the area of price that is being rejected by a hammer candlestick, look to see whether there were a few closes of previous candlesticks at nearby prices. If there were, the hammer is likely to have more weight, unless it is a Flying Buddha.
An example is shown in the chart below. Note how the previous candle’s close was not near to any other recent closes. However the final candle on the right is forming and looks as if its close is going to be near the previous candle’s close. This second hammer candlestick looks like it is going to be more reliable than the first candlestick. It has also formed a double bottom at the low of the previous candlestick, and is rejecting a key level of potential support marked by the blue line.

Candlestick Open and Close both Near Top or Bottom of Range

Hammer candlesticks are usually defined as meaningfully long candlesticks with the open and close both in either the top or bottom quarter of the candlestick’s range. If both the open and close are even higher or lower, say in the top or bottom 10% of the range, it is even better.

Price Breaks Out on Next Candle

Hammer candlesticks that produce important reversals usually push the price up in the intended direction very quickly. For this reason, it is quite common to trade them by putting a trade entry stop order just above the high of a bullish hammer, for example, and cancelling the trade if the price is not reached by the very next candle. This can help in filtering out a few trade entries of inferior quality.

Conclusion

Trading hammer candlesticks can be a great way to start Forex trading in a profitable fashion. However do not take every hammer candlestick or you won’t be profitable. Pick the candles that meet at least some of the criteria listed here, especially those in line with strong trends. If you also let your winning trades run, you are highly likely to find yourself ahead and making money after a while.



Source

What Is The Difference Between A Demat Account And Buying and selling Account? | Insurance | Mesothelioma | Forex

This is the place you purchase and promote stocks, choices, ETFs and extra. I acknowledge that securities held in my Margin account could also be pledged, re-pledged, hypothecated, or re-hypothecated for any quantity due Stadium Online in my account(s) or for a larger amount. All the information on this website is for academic functions only and is not to be construed as investment or buying and selling advice. For a few of these brokerages, in case you lose money and your account stability drops under this amount, you’ll still be charged further fees for having too low a stability.

Any Commonwealth Bank or CommSec account details supplied by you on the One Off Trade Kind are for identification purposes only, and proceeds will likely be credited in the type of cheque only. Your selections right here will inform your selection of brokerage. Share trading through this web site is a service offered by means of Westpac Securities Restricted ABN 39 087 924 221 AFSL 233723 by Australian Funding Alternate Ltd ABN seventy one 076 515 930 AFSL 241400 (“the Participant”), a participant of the ASX Group and Chi-X Australia.

In relation to investments, a buying and selling account is used as a way for an investor to purchase stocks. Before you acquire any services or products from Westpac Securities Restricted and the Participant, it’s essential to view the most recent Financial Providers Guides (FSG’s) issued by them. Margin buying and selling is extended by Nationwide Financial Companies, Member NYSE, SIPC, a Constancy Investments firm. As well as, I felt the brokerage structure and price of account opening and fees might be increased aspect when compared to different brokers who offer only Trading and Demat Account.

Additional, homeowners, employees, agents or representatives of the Institute of Trading and Portfolio Management aren’t appearing as investment advisors and may not be registered with the U.S. Securities and Alternate Fee or the Financial Trade Regulatory. XTB Restricted is authorised and controlled by the UK Financial Conduct Authority (FRN 522157) with its registered and buying and selling workplace at Level 34, One Canada Sq., Canary Wharf, E14 5AA, London, United Kingdom (company quantity 07227848).

Switching your banking and investment accounts to CIBC is easy and convenient, and comes with plenty of advantages. Improve your buying and selling efficiency or be taught to trade with City Index’s videos and tutorials. Demat account is sort of a bank account by which instead of money, the shares and securities you purchase are saved in dematerialized form. Use a CommSec Share Buying and selling Account to put money into a variety of ASX-listed securities, including Australian shares, using our award-successful trading platform.

Resulting from numerous factors (akin to danger tolerance, margin requirements, trading goals, brief time period vs. long term strategies, technical vs. basic market analysis, and other elements) such buying and selling could end result within the initiation or liquidation of positions which can be different from or contrary to the opinions and recommendations contained therein. The brokerage wants all this information to allow them to contact you to debate changes in your accounts to confirm gross sales or purchases and to let you recognize about a margin name.

This can be achieved by playing with totally different forex demo accounts by varied brokers. Motilal Oswal’s on-line platforms offer the best online trading and tracking experience across all gadgets, which is cellular app, net portal, EXE, smart watch and so forth. Buying and selling accounts are often associated with day trading. This rule requires a $25,000 minimal amount within the account to commerce more than three spherical journeys during a rolling five-day interval. FxPro Group Limited is the holding company of FxPro Financial Providers Ltd, FxPro UK Restricted, FxPro Global Markets MENA Restricted and FxPro Global Markets Ltd.

ActivTrades PLC is regulated by the Dubai Monetary Companies Authority below Agency’s reference No. F003511. Trade Traded Funds are funds that trade on a inventory exchange like bizarre shares. The supplier of the share trading service (we”, us”, our”) reserves the correct to finish the Introductory Interval early on one business day’s discover within the event that a customer’s buying and selling activities exceed affordable limits as decided by us in our discretion. Consider it as a bank account for your shares as a substitute of money.

For those who hold shares in certificate type, you can simply add these in to your Trading Account so that you can manage all your holdings electronically in one place. Individual brokerages could apply margin restrictions on particular stocks as a result of volatility and brief curiosity. Where you want to promote shares that are held within the name of a belief or company you should have an existing Commonwealth Checking account or bank card in the identical name as the registered title on the shares.

You may access our on-line trading platform on the internet, cellular, desktop or use our call and trade facility, in order that you don’t miss out on any market opportunities. To view the bank account you nominated on your software type, select Portfolio > Profile after you might have logged into your CommSec account. Whole up your risk capital and examine this to the required minimal stability at each brokerage. Until otherwise specified here, the traditional phrases and situations, credit criteria, fees and charges apply to the share trading service provided by Westpac Securities Limited (ABN 39 087 924 221, AFSL 233723) by Australian Investment Trade Ltd (ABN 71 076 515 930, AFSL 241400).

HALAMAN SELANJUTNYA:

Commerce On Your Phrases | Insurance | Mesothelioma | Forex

This is where you buy and sell stocks, options, ETFs and extra. In relation to investments, a buying and selling account is used as a manner for an investor to purchase shares. Earlier than you acquire any services or products from Westpac Securities Limited and the Participant, you have to view the newest Financial Companies Guides (FSG’s) issued by them. Margin buying and selling is prolonged by Nationwide Financial Services, Member NYSE, SIPC, a Fidelity Investments firm. As well as, I felt the brokerage structure and cost of account opening and costs can be increased facet when compared to different brokers who provide only Buying and selling and Demat Account.

Any Commonwealth Bank or CommSec account details supplied by you on the One Off Commerce Form are for identification functions only, and proceeds can be credited in the type of cheque only. Your decisions here will inform your choice of brokerage. Share buying and selling via this website is a service supplied by way of Westpac Securities Limited ABN 39 087 924 221 AFSL 233723 by Australian Investment Trade Ltd ABN 71 076 515 930 AFSL 241400 (“the Participant”), a participant of the ASX Group and Chi-X Australia.

Your online banking and funding accounts are protected by the CIBC Digital Banking Security Assure. Share Investing Restricted is a subsidiary of Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Restricted ABN eleven 005 357 522 (ANZ) however will not be an authorised deposit-taking institution below the Banking Act. In a single day means you hold the position past 4:00p.m. EST and you’ll be liable for a regulation T margin name and your brokerage would ask you to point out them an additional $25,000 which would be 50% of the $100,000.

Apart from any deposits within the Money Account, the obligations of Share Investing Limited don’t characterize deposits or different liabilities of ANZ. Let’s take another have a look at Intraday Margin which is often referred to as Pattern Day Trader Margin or PDT. Convenience, flexibility and great value aren’t all a CommSec Share Buying and selling Account offers. Now you’ll be able to fix your brokerage with our Flexi margin plan and luxuriate in lower brokerage rates on your investments. When you work for a registered broker supplier they’ll ask whether or not you were a director, a 10% shareholder or policymaking officer of a publicly owned company in addition to which company that might be. If you are a registered consultant of a brokerage agency or a ten% or extra shareholder in a company, then you could have particular disclosure obligations along with the data already provided.

A demo account can’t always reasonably mirror the entire market circumstances that will have an effect on pricing, execution and margin requirements in a reside trading setting. Whatever stocks you buy will probably be held in Demat Account. Read this Article , which may help you perceive more about how the Buying and selling & Demat account works. Account the place you hold your shares in dematerialize kind or in digital type. Day Trading Account is an account for intraday merchants, the place a trader purchase and sell their stocks throughout the similar day.

With a margin account you’re basically borrowing money from someone, like getting buyers into your trades. The SEBI passed a mandate in 1996 that every one your shares needs to be transformed to an digital format. As you undergo the account opening course of, your brokerage agency must know a good deal of personal details about you. When you use all of the horsepower of the $100,000 shopping for power you would have to close at the least a portion of that trade by the top of the day or must provide you with a regulation T margin call.

Notice that every online brokerage account signal-up course of is slightly different. A demat account gives you information about the shares you own together with the amount. Investors who trade by OTA nonetheless need to settle by their very own accounts. On T+1 day, the securities firm ought to complete the transaction allocation operations and can’t preserve the data not yet allocated. Trading international change, spot valuable metals and every other product on the Forex platform involves significant danger of loss and may not be appropriate for all investors.

Up to now, the buyers were given the bodily possession of shares, but now the shares are just credited in the Demat account of the investor. Your shares will probably be bought inside approximately two (2) business days after receipt of your request at the prevailing market price on the time the order is positioned. If client sends buying and selling order after the market closed, the order will show PO (Pending Order) Status because the dealer system has to verify the order details earlier than sending to SET System.

Day trading margin for non-IRA accounts is normally leveraged at four-to-one during market hours. One of the best ways to fund your account is via a bank wire instantly out of your checking or financial savings account into your new brokerage account. I ACKNOWLEDGE THAT MY BROKERAGE DOES NOT PRESENT INVESTMENT, TAX, OR LEGAL RECOMMENDATION OR SUGGESTIONS. The information contained on this web site doesn’t represent the supply of advice or constitute or type a part of any provide, solicitation or invitation to subscribe for or purchase any securities or other financial product nor shall it type a part of it or type the premise of or be relied upon in connection with any contract or dedication in any way.

You ought to be aware of all of the risks associated with international change buying and selling, and seek advice from an impartial financial advisor when you’ve got any doubts. As the identify implies, it is an account that helps you commerce within the stock market. To transfer shares held with the share registry into your CommSec Share Buying and selling Account it’s essential full an Issuer Sponsored Holdings to CHESS Sponsorship Switch Kind. A secure and easy to use on-line trading account with clear, honest and competitive pricing.

If you need the dealer to trade your account for you, you’ll be able to choose this. Demat account is generally for the people who would like to make investments in the market and maintain the shares within the digital type. Spend money on Australian corporations listed on the ASX , with brokerage from as little as $10.002 per trade. This would possibly include, but is not limited to, saving accounts, choices, shares portfolios, equities and funding in funds. Most, nevertheless, supply cash accounts at a participation stage of about $10,000.

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